Some Red Sox succeed in Boston by shutting out the noise; this current roster succeeds by feeding off of it.

To succeed as a baseball player in Boston, you have to have a way of dealing with the scrutiny of the fan base. This and what follows are things I think are true, but couldn’t prove to you. Consider it all well-considered opinion.

I think there are two personalities that can handle this well. I’ll call them the Cool Type and the Hot Type.

The Cool Type is calm, cool, and collected. Nothing fazes them. Criticism just slides right off like they don’t hear it. They succeed by shutting out the noise. On the Red Sox, this is Marcelo Mayer, Roman Anthony, Ranger Suarez, and maybe Masataka Yoshida.

The Hot Type is energetic and unapologetic. They hear the noise, and they feed off its energy, often even when the noise is critical of them. On the Red Sox, this is Willson Contreras, Wilyer Abreu, Peyton Tolle, and now Anthony Seigler too.

Other players who aren’t either type may succeed by following the lead of their Hot Type or Cool Type teammates.

All players will have some ability to shut out bad noise and feed off good noise. It’s just that some fit one archetype better than the other, and then that’s what everyone around them sees.

I think a team can succeed with a mixture of both types. Hot Types bring the energy when things are feeling lackluster. Cool Types provide the even keel when things are rough, the “everything’s going to be alright” mindset when worry sets in and potentially becomes self-defeating.

This year the Cool Types weren’t doing much. When Anthony Seigler showed up in June, I think the Hot Types reached a critical mass, and things took off. It helps that many players around them play with a lot of energy – Durbin, Duran, and now Cheng too. Rafaela plays with energy when it’s called for too, but the rest of the time seems to have that calm demeanor as well. Hard to place him.

Regardless, I think part of the magic of this run is that every position player on this current roster responds well to Hot Type leadership that Willson Contreras and others are providing. They’re feeding off all the energy around them, and no place provides more energy than a full Fenway Park when their Red Sox are on a winning streak and surging in the standings.

I don’t think Mayer and Anthony necessarily have an attitude problem, as some people are suggesting, just because they don’t fit the current clubhouse chemistry. They’re just a different type than what’s working so well for the Red Sox right now. Not saying the attitude problem isn’t there, either. It’s possible the whole “Big 3” thing went to their heads too much. But let’s not jump to that conclusion too hastily. For now, Hot is working for the Red Sox, but they may need to bring back some more Cool later on to get the best balance.

Update – The Red Sox Could Be an Unlucky .500 Team

Two weeks ago I published How the Boston Red Sox could be an unlucky .500 team. It showed that if you randomly scramble up the Red Sox runs scored numbers from all their 2026 games, they would almost always end up with a few more wins than the 31 they actually had. Most typically, they’d be just under .500 for a winning percentage.

That article goes into detail about the thinking behind this analysis, and how it works.

It’s 2 weeks later now, and the Red Sox have done a bit more winning than losing in that time. I thought I’d check to see what their updated chart looks like. And here it is, through Friday’s opener against the Angels on July 3:

When randomly rearranging their scores, over 96% of the trials gave the Red Sox a better record than their current 38-48. The most likely outcome was an even .500 record of 43-43. 33.4% of trials were above .500, while 49.2% were below .500.

The Pythagorean Win-Loss formula also predicts a 43-43 record for the Red Sox.

So either the Red Sox have been unlucky this year, and are better than their record, or they’re just poor at winning close games.