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Expected Binomial Production
The Merit Method

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The Baseballsphere Blog

The (sometimes mathematical) baseball thoughts, analysis, and ideas of Tom McIntyre

Formulas predicting frequency of innings with particular run totals

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Tanner Houck deserves a win for his 5 perfect innings – and here’s a way to give it to him October 3, 2021
The how and the why of awarding wins to pitchers by the merit method October 2, 2021
Nathan Eovaldi’s 6-game no-decision streak would be a 6-game win streak if wins were awarded in this way September 24, 2021
How big is home field advantage in baseball? June 18, 2019
How does the number of outs per inning affect run production? June 1, 2019

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